Archive for January 2019

How to Visualize Changing Recession Start Date Forecasts

In case you missed it, we are in a recession. According to Intensity’s latest US recession start date forecast, there is a 50% probability of a recession starting sometime in the January to February 2019 period.  And a 97% probability of it starting sometime within the next 6 months. Their “point estimate” of a recession…

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